Publications

How Does Slack Influence Inflation?
With Richard Peach and Anna Cororaton
Federal Reserve Bank of New York Current Issues in Economics and Finance, Volume: 17, Issue Number 3,  2011

Improving Survey Measurement of Household Inflation Expectations
With W. Bruine de Bruin, W. Van Der Klaauw, S. Potter and G. Topa
Federal Reserve Bank of New York Current Issues in Economics and Finance, August/September 2010

The Relationships Between Expected Inflation, Disagreement and Uncertainty: Evidence from Matched Point and Density Forecasts
With J. Tracy
The Review of Economics and Statistics, February 2010,
200-207
Read the full text from MIT Press Journals  ››

Is the Worst Over? Economic Indexes and the Course of the Recession in New York and New Jersey
With J. Bram, J. Orr, R. Rosen and J. Song
Federal Reserve Bank of New York Current Issues in Economics and Finance, September 2009, Volume 15, Number 5

A Comparison of Measures of Core Inflation
With C. Steindel
Federal Reserve Bank of New York Economic Policy Review, December 2007, Volume 13, Number 3,
19-38

Tracking the New Economy: Using Growth Theory to Identify Changes in Trend Productivity
With J. Kahn
Journal of Monetary Economics,September 2007
1670-1701
Read the full text from ScienceDirect  ››

Tracking Productivity in Real Time
With James Kahn
Federal Reserve Bank of New York Current Issues in Economics and Finance, November 2006, Volume 12, Number 8

Using Regional Economic Indexes to Forecast Tax Bases: Evidence from New York
With Jason Bram, Andrew Haughwout, James Orr, Rae Rosen and Rebecca Sela
The Review of Economics and Statistics, November 2005,
627-634
Read the full text from MIT Press Journals  ››

The Historical and Recent Behavior of Goods and Services Inflation
With Richard Peach and Alexis Antoniades
Federal Reserve Bank of New York Economic Policy Review, December 2004, 10: 19-32

Uncertainty and Labor Contract Durations 
With J. Tracy
The Review of Economics and Statistics, February 2004, 270-287
49 pages / 311 kb

Distinguising Trends from Cycles in Productivity
With J. Kahn
Monetary Policy in a Changing Environment, Bank for International Settlements, Conference Papers,Volume 19, October 2003, 443-461

Structural Estimates of the U.S. Sacrifice Ratio
With Stephen G. Cecchetti
Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 19, no. 4 October 2001: 416-27
See also ››
Working paper version of this report, see Robert W. Rich, Structural Estimates of the U.S. Sacrifice Ratio (with Stephen G. Cecchetti), Federal Reserve Bank of New York Staff Report No. 71, March 1999

Leading Economic Indexes for New York State and New Jersey
With J. Orr and R. Rosen
Federal Reserve Bank of New York Economic Policy Review, March 2001

Understanding the Recent Behavior of U.S. Inflation
With D. Rissmiller
Federal Reserve Bank of New York Current Issues in Economics and Finance, July 2000

Two New Indexes Offer a Broad View of Economic Activity in the New York-New Jersey Region
With J. Orr and R. Rosen
Federal Reserve Bank of New York Current Issues in Economics and Finance: Second District Highlights, October 1999

Disagreement as a Measure of Uncertainty: A Comment on Bomberger
With J.S. Butler
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, August 1998, 411-419
Read the full text in JSTOR  ››

Is There an Inflation Puzzle?
With C. Lown
Federal Reserve Bank of New York Economic Policy Review, Volume 3 Number 4, December 1997 51-69

A Look at the U.S. Inflation Puzzle
With C. Lown
Monetary Policy and the Inflation ProcessBank for International Settlements, Conference Papers, Volume 4, July 1997, 193-219

Oil and the Macroeconomy: A Markov State-Switching Approach
With J. Raymond
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, May 1997, 193-213,
Read the full text in JSTOR  ››

Inflation and the Asymmetric Effects of Money on Output Fluctuations
With W. Rhee
Journal of Macroeconomics, Fall 1995, 683-702
Read the full text from ScienceDirect  ››

Testing for the Exogeneity of Real Income in Models of the Poverty Process: Evidence from Post-Independence India
With C. Bell
Economics Letters, December 1994, 295-302
Read the full text from ScienceDirect  ››

Rural Poverty and Aggregate Agricultural Performance in Post-Independence India
With C. Bell
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, May 1994, 111-133

Some Tests for Speculative Exchange Rate Bubbles Based on Unit Root Tests
With D. Kirikos
Spoudai,January-June 1994, 14-30

Testing for Measurement Errors in Expectations from Survey Data: An Instrumental Variables Approach
With J. Raymond and J.S. Butler
Economics LettersVolume 43, No 1, 1993, 5-10
Read the full text from ScienceDirect  ››

The Relationship Between Forecast Dispersion and Forecast Uncertainty:Evidence from a Survey Data-ARCH Model
With J. Raymond and J.S. Butler
Journal of Applied Econometrics,
April-June 1992, 131-148
Read the full text in JSTOR  ››

Generalized Instrumental Variables Estimation of Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity Models
With J. Raymond and J.S. Butler
Economics LettersFebruary 1991, 179-185
Read the full text from ScienceDirect  ››

Another Look at the Rationality of the LivingstonPrice Expectations Data
Applied Economics,April 1990, 477-485, Reviewed in ÂÂÂÂÂÂÂÂÂÂÂÂÂÂ??Research on Forecasting' International Journal of Forecasting, October 1990, 445-446

Testing the Rationality of Inflation Forecast from Survey Data: Another Look at the SRC Expected Price Change Data
The Review of Economics and StatisticsNovember 1989, 682-686,
Read the full text in JSTOR  ››

Robert Rich's CV

The views expressed in the papers listed on this page are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the position of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York or the Federal Reserve System.