Economic Policy Review

Has September 11 Affected New York City’s Growth Potential?

November 2002Volume 8, Number 2
JEL classification: R11, R15, R30

Authors: Jason Bram, Andrew Haughwout, and James Orr

In addition to exacting a tremendous human toll, the September11 attack on the World Trade Center caused billions of dollars in property damage and a temporary contraction in NewYorkCity’s economy. This article explores the effect of these events on the longer run economic prospects for the city. For many years, growth in New York has taken the form of rising property prices, reflecting a steady transition from low- to high-paying jobs. During the 1990s, the city’s expansion was built on several factors, including improving fiscal conditions, better public services, and shifting industrial and population structures that favored job and income growth. The study suggests that the effects of September11 will not eliminate these advantages in the medium term; in fact, preliminary indications are that the city remains an attractive location for businesses as well as households. Nevertheless, NewYorkCity will face many challenges as it attempts to return to its pre-attack growth path.

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