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| Estimating Yields on Treasury
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Treasury bills (T-bills), U.S. debt instruments with maturities of one year or less, play a central role in our nation's financial system. Backed by the full faith and credit of the U.S. government, Treasury bills are low-risk investments with a broad and liquid secondary market. Unlike comparable corporate issues, the interest earned on Treasury securities is exempt from state and local taxes. However, because T-bills are free of default risk, they generally have lower yields than corporate issues of comparable maturities. T-Bill Yields The investor's return is used in mathematical formulas to determine the yield on T-bills. One formula, the discount yield method, takes into account the return as a percent of the face value of a T-bill, rather than its purchase price. Since the purchase price is typically less than face value, the discount method tends to understate the yield. An alternative formula, called the investment yield method, also can be used to calculate the yield. Unlike the discount yield formula, the investment yield method relates the investor's return to the purchase price of the bill. Both the discount yield and the investment yield, as well as the high, low and average prices of the auctioned T-bills, are made public in an official Treasury report shortly after the auction. The Treasury uses the discount and investment formulas for calculating yields on all T-bills, except the one-year bill. Yields reported by the Treasury are precise to several decimal places. The Discount Yield Method Discount yield = [(FV - PP)/FV] * [360/M] FV = face value Example What is the discount yield for a 182-day T-bill, auctioned at an average price of $9,659.30 per $10,000 face value? Discount yield = [(FV - PP)/FV] * [360/M]
Discount yield = [(10,000) - (9,659.30)]
/ (10,000) * [360/182]
The Investment Yield Method The following formula is used to calculate the investment yield for T-bills that have three- or six-month maturities: Investment yield = [(FV - PP)/PP] * [365 or 366/M] Example What is the investment yield of a 182-day T-bill, auctioned at an average price of $9,659.30 per $10,000 face value? Investment yield = [(FV - PP)/PP] * [365/M] Investment yield = [(10,000 - 9,659.30)
/ (9,659.30)] * [365/182] For the 13-week bill, the same formula can be used, dividing 365 (or 366) by a maturity of 91 days. Yields on Treasury Notes and Bonds Formulas used by Treasury to calculate the investment yield on notes and bonds are complicated and vary, depending on the maturity of the issue. However, the investment yield on a bond or note held to maturity can be approximated with the following formula:
{R + [(FV - PP)/M]} R = coupon rate FV = face value Example What is the investment yield of a seven-year Treasury note issued at a price of $99.709, with an annual Treasury announced coupon of 7 7/8, payable semi-annually? R = 7 7/8 (7.875) FV = $100 PP = $99.709 M = 7
7.875 + [(100 - 99.709)/7] Investment yield = (7.875 + .0415714) /
(99.8545) |
