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| Staff Reports |
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| Tariffs and the Great Depression
Revisited |
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| September 2003 Number
172 |
JEL classification:
E3, F4, N1 |
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Authors: Mario J. Crucini and James
Kahn
Drawing on recent business cycle research
on the Great Depression, we return to an argument we advanced
in a 1996 article in the Journal of Monetary Economicsthe
argument that features of the Hawley-Smoot tariffs could have
done more to decrease economic activity than is customarily
believed, though not enough to account for the severe decline
of the early 1930s. Here we reformulate our argument in a
business cycle accounting framework that apportions fluctuations
between three types of "wedges": (productive) inefficiency,
the consumption-leisure margin, and intertemporal inefficiency.
Tariff increases in our model correspond primarily to productive
inefficiency in a prototype one-sector model. Moreover, the
wedge implied by tariffs during the Depression correlates
well with the overall measure of productive inefficiency.
Our model fails to produce a labor wedge of any consequencepersuasive
evidence that factors other than tariffs also contributed
significantly to the severity of the Depression. |
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