The Federal Reserve Bank of New York works to promote sound and well-functioning financial systems and markets through its provision of industry and payment services, advancement of infrastructure reform in key markets and training and educational support to international institutions.
The Outreach and Education function engages, empowers and educates the Second District communities that the Bank serves, especially civic leaders, students, educators, small business owners, policymakers and the general public. It furthers the Bank's commitment to the region by listening to the communities we serve and leveraging our unique attributes to positively impact school and university programs, as well as analysis and research.
We document that financial intermediary balance sheet aggregates contain strong predictive power for excess returns on a broad set of equity, corporate, and Treasury bond portfolios. Our results provide support to the hypothesis that financial intermediary balance sheet quantities matter in the determination of risk premia. We also explore the extent to which the intermediary variables that predict excess returns impact real economic activity. Our findings point to the importance of financing frictions in macroeconomic dynamics and asset pricing.