Which Financial Frictions? Parsing the Evidence from the Financial Crisis of 2007-09 - Federal Reserve Bank of New York

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Which Financial Frictions? Parsing the Evidence from the Financial Crisis of 2007-09

2014 December 2011 Number 528
Revised June 2012

JEL classification: G10, G20, G21, E20

Authors: Tobias Adrian, Paolo Colla, and Hyun Song Shin

The financial crisis of 2007-09 has sparked keen interest in models of financial frictions and their impact on macro activity. Most models share the feature that borrowers suffer a contraction in the quantity of credit. However, the evidence suggests that although bank lending to firms declines during the crisis, bond financing actually increases to make up much of the gap. This paper reviews both aggregate and micro-level data and highlights the shift in the composition of credit between loans and bonds. Motivated by the evidence, we formulate a model of direct and intermediated credit that captures the key stylized facts. In our model, the impact on real activity comes from the spike in risk premiums, rather than contraction in the total quantity of credit.

Available only in PDF pdf

55 pages / 751 kb

For a published version of this report, see Tobias Adrian, Paolo Colla, and Hyun Song Shin, "Which Financial Frictions? Parsing the Evidence from the Financial Crisis of 2007-09," NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2012
Vol 27, edited by Daron Acemoglu, Jonathan Parker, and Michael Woodford (May 2013): 159-214.

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