Staff Reports
Exchange Rates and Local Labor Markets
February 1999 Number 63
JEL classification: F31, F3, F4, J30, E24

Authors: Linda Goldberg and Joseph Tracy

We document the consequences of real exchange rate movements for the employment, hours, and hourly earnings of workers in manufacturing industries across individual states. Exchange rates have statistically significant wage and employment implications in these local labor markets. The importance and size of these dollar-induced effects vary considerably across industries and are more pronounced in some U.S. regions. In addition to demonstrating the importance of exchange rate shocks, we confirm prior research results showing that relatively strong local conditions drive up wages in local industries, while anticipated future (positive) local shocks reduce current wages.

Available only in PDFPDF35 pages / 209 kb

For a published version of this report, see Linda Goldberg and Joseph Tracy, "Exchange Rates and Local Labor Markets," in Robert C. Feenstra, ed., The Impact of International Trade on Wages, NBER conference volume (Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 2000), 269-308.

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