Author: Matthew Higgins
Working within the Federal Reserve System, the New York Fed implements monetary policy, supervises and regulates financial institutions and helps maintain the nation's payment systems.
Do you have a Freedom of Information request? Learn how to submit it.
See the world's largest accumulation of gold as you learn about the New York Fed and Federal Reserve System on a free tour.
The latest Annual Report chronicles the impact of Federal Reserve policies and includes data on the New York Fed's operations.
Our economists engage in scholarly research and policy-oriented analysis on a wide range of important issues.
The Weekly Economic Index provides an informative signal of the state of the U.S. economy based on high-frequency data reported daily or weekly.
The Center for Microeconomic Data offers wide-ranging data and analysis on the finances and economic expectations of U.S. households.
Our model produces a "nowcast" of GDP growth, incorporating a wide range of macroeconomic data as it becomes available.
As part of our core mission, we supervise and regulate financial institutions in the Second District. Our primary objective is to maintain a safe and competitive U.S. and global banking system.
The Governance & Culture Reform hub is designed to foster discussion about corporate governance and the reform of culture and behavior in the financial services industry.
Need to file a report with the New York Fed? Here are all of the forms, instructions and other information related to regulatory and statistical reporting in one spot.
The New York Fed works to protect consumers as well as provides information and resources on how to avoid and report specific scams.
The Federal Reserve Bank of New York works to promote sound and well-functioning financial systems and markets through its provision of industry and payment services, advancement of infrastructure reform in key markets and training and educational support to international institutions.
The New York Fed provides a wide range of payment services for financial institutions and the U.S. government.
The New York Fed offers the Central Banking Seminar and several specialized courses for central bankers and financial supervisors.
The New York Fed has been working with tri-party repo market participants to make changes to improve the resiliency of the market to financial stress.
The Economic Inequality & Equitable Growth hub is a collection of research, analysis and convenings to help better understand economic inequality.
This Economist Spotlight Series is created for middle school and high school students to spark curiosity and interest in economics as an area of study and a future career.
The Governance & Culture Reform hub is designed to foster discussion about corporate governance and the reform of culture and behavior in the financial services industry.
JEL classification: E13, E20, O47, O57
Author: Matthew Higgins
Can China build on its development success to achieve high-income status in the decades ahead? To shed light on this question, we examine the past and prospective future sources of growth in China through the lens of the neoclassical growth model. Our key finding is that China would need to sustain total factor productivity growth at the top end of the range achieved by its high-income Pacific Rim neighbors in order to match their success in raising living standards. While fast-growing working-age populations boosted per capita income growth elsewhere in the Pacific Rim, a rapidly aging population will act as a powerful drag on income growth in China’s case. Moreover, China's already capital-intensive production structure will make it difficult to match those countries' gains from capital deepening. These restraints mean that a sustained and exceptionally high pace of productivity growth will be needed for Chinese per capita incomes to reach even 50 percent of the U.S. level by 2040. We argue that lagging institutional development represents the chief obstacle to the needed productivity gains.