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December 2019 Revised April 2022
JEL classification: E24, J63, J64, J65
Authors: Fatih Karahan, Kurt Mitman, and Brendan Moore
We develop a method to jointly measure the response of worker search effort (micro effect) and vacancy creation (macro effect) to changes in the duration of unemployment insurance (UI) benefits. To implement this approach, we exploit an unexpected cut in UI durations in Missouri and provide quasi-experimental evidence on the effect of UI on the labor market. The data indicate that the cut in Missouri significantly increased job finding rates by both raising the search effort of unemployed workers and the availability of jobs. The latter accounts for at least one half of the total effect.
For the research that resulted in “Micro and Macro Effects of UI Policies: Evidence from Missouri,” I attest to the following:
1. Financial support for my research came entirely from my employer, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
2. I have not received any financial or in-kind support for this research from anyone other than the entities listed above.
3. I have no paid or unpaid positions as officer, director, or board member of any relevant non-profit organizations or profit-making entities.
4. I have no close relative or partners who received financial support from or work in any position at any relevant entity.
5. The results use data from the Conference Board Help Wanted Online dataset that are not publicly available. These results have been reviewed by the Conference Board to ensure that no confidential information is disclosed.
Kurt Mitman
I attest to the following:
1. Financial support for my research came from my employer, the Institute for International Economic Studies at Stockholm University, the European Research Council and the Ragnar Söderberg Stiftelse.
2. I have not received any financial or in-kind support for this research from anyone other than the entities listed above.
3. I have no paid or unpaid positions as officer, director, or board member of any relevant nonprofit organizations or profit-making entities.
4. I have no close relatives or partners who received financial support from or work in any position at any relevant entity.
Brendan Moore
I attest to the following:
1. Financial support for my research came from my employer, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
2. I have not received any financial or in-kind support for this research from anyone other than the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
3. I have no paid or unpaid positions as officer, director, or board member of any relevant nonprofit organizations or profit-making entities.
4. I have no close relatives or partners who received financial support from or work in any position at any relevant entity.
