Center for Microeconomic Data

 
SCE PUBLIC POLICY SURVEY
At a Glance: Findings from the August SCE Public Policy Survey
Survey data track consumers’ outlook on public policy—the likelihood of changes and the impact of shifts. The survey is fielded every four months.

  • The average probability assigned to an increase in housing assistance over the next twelve months reached 52 percent in August, a new series high. The increase was broad-based across different age and income groups.
  • The average expected likelihood of an expansion in Medicare benefits in the next twelve months increased to 31 percent, from 26 percent in April, tying a series high recorded in December 2020. On the other hand, the average reported probability of an increase in unemployment benefits continued its declining trend and reached 36 percent in August, remaining above pre-pandemic levels.
  • The average probability assigned to an expansion in mandatory paid parental leave policies continued its upward trend and reached a new series high of 34 percent in August. The increase was most pronounced for women and respondents without a college degree.
  • The expected likelihood of an increase in the average income tax rate over the next year increased to 53 percent, from 50 percent in April, its highest level since the start of the series in 2015. Similarly, the average expected probability of an increase in the payroll tax rate over the next twelve months increased to 50 percent, from 45 percent in April, reaching a new series high.


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The SCE Public Policy Survey is fielded as a rotating module of the Survey of Consumer Expectations (SCE). The data are updated online three times per year as results come in.

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