Center for Microeconomic Data

At a Glance: Findings from the December SCE Public Policy Survey
Survey data track consumers’ outlook on public policy—likelihood of changes and impact of shifts

  • The average percent chance of a decrease in unemployment benefits declined to 19.4 percent in December from 20.5 percent in August 2019. The measure has been trending down since April 2017, with the average percent chance of no change in benefits trending upward by about the same amount over that period.
  • The average percent chance of a decrease in Medicare has followed a similar pattern since April 2017. The measure declined to 22.9 percent in December from 23.4 percent in August 2019.
  • The average likelihood of a decline in the average income tax rate fell from 10.9 percent in August to 9.4 percent in December, while the average likelihood of an increase in the rate rose to 33.6 percent in December from 32.6 percent in August.

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The SCE Public Policy Survey is fielded every four months as a rotating module of the Survey of Consumer Expectations (SCE). The data are updated online three times per year as results come in.