Judging the Risk of Banks: What Makes Banks Opaque? - FEDERAL RESERVE BANK of NEW YORK

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Research Papers

Judging the Risk of Banks: What Makes Banks Opaque?

March 1998 Number 9805

Author: Donald Morgan

We argue that the risk of banks is hard for outsiders to judge because the risk of their mostly financial assets is either hard to measure (opaque) or easy to change. We report evidence that bond rating agencies seem to disagree more over banks than over other types of firms. Among banks, bond raters disagree more over opaque assets, like loans, and easily substitutable assets, like cash and trading assets. Fixed assets, like premises, reduce disagreement. Capital also reduces disagreement, but only at trading banks, where the risk of asset shifting may be most severe.

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