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The Governance & Culture Reform hub is designed to foster discussion about corporate governance and the reform of culture and behavior in the financial services industry.
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A monthly survey of service firms in New York State, northern New Jersey and southwestern Connecticut, conducted by the New York Fed.
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Download the full report 
Read this month's Supplemental Survey Report on prices paid for major budget categories |
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Activity in the region’s service sector expanded slightly, according to firms responding to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s December 2018 Business Leaders Survey. The survey’s headline business activity index edged down three points to 5.6. The business climate index fell to a level of around zero, its lowest reading in a year, indicating that on balance, firms regarded the business climate as normal. Employment levels rose modestly, and wage increases remained fairly widespread. The prices paid index stayed elevated at 54.4, and the prices received index was little changed at 18.1. Optimism waned, with the index for future business climate falling below zero for the first time in more than a year.
Growth Slows
Business activity expanded to a small degree in the region’s service sector in December. The headline business activity index dipped three points to 5.6. Thirty-one percent of respondents reported that conditions improved over the month, while 25 percent said that conditions worsened. The business climate index fell fourteen points to -0.6, its lowest level in a year, signaling that, on balance, firms viewed the business climate as normal. Price Indexes Remain Elevated
The employment index held steady at 8.8, indicating that employment levels increased modestly. The wages index was little changed at 34.4, suggesting that wage gains remained fairly widespread. The prices paid index edged down three points, its second consecutive monthly decline, but remained elevated at 54.4. The prices received index held steady at 18.1. The capital spending index moved down four points to 16.9, a reading pointing to ongoing solid increases in capital spending. Optimism Is Again Somewhat Subdued
Firms remained fairly subdued in their optimism about the six-month outlook. After declining sharply last month, the index for future business activity was little changed at 18.6. The index for future business climate fell below zero for the first time in more than two years, suggesting that firms expect the business climate to be worse than normal in the months ahead. The index for future wages moved up six points to 57.2, a multiyear high, and the index for planned capital spending came in at 24.7. Contacts Tech help: nyrsf.webteam@ny.frb.org Questions about survey/data: richard.deitz@ny.frb.org or (716) 849-5025; jason.bram@ny.frb.org or (212) 720-5651 |
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Historical Reports >>
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Latest Report including charts of diffusion indexes Historical Tables |
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The Business Leaders Survey is a monthly survey conducted by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York that asks companies across its District - which includes New York State, Northern New Jersey, and Fairfield County, Connecticut - about recent and expected trends in key business indicators. This survey is designed to parallel the Empire State Manufacturing Survey, though it covers a wider geography and the questions are slightly different. Participants from the service sector respond to a questionnaire and report on a variety of indicators, both in terms of recent and expected changes. While January 2014 is the first published report, survey responses date back to September of 2004 and all historical data are available on our website. Contacts |
