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A monthly survey of service firms in New York State, northern New Jersey and southwestern Connecticut, conducted by the New York Fed.
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Activity in the region’s service sector grew modestly, according to firms responding to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s March 2019 Business Leaders Survey. The survey’s headline business activity index fell three points to 10.8, indicating a slightly slower pace of growth than last month. The business climate index fell five points to -1.3, its near-zero level indicating that, on balance, firms regarded the business climate as normal. Employment levels climbed, and the wages index reached its highest level in more than a decade. Both the prices paid and prices received indexes remained elevated. Firms remained fairly optimistic about the six-month outlook.
Activity Grows Modestly
Business activity in the region’s service sector expanded modestly in March. The headline business activity index fell three points to 10.8, pointing to a somewhat slower pace of growth than in February. Thirty-five percent of respondents reported that conditions improved over the month, and 24 percent said that conditions worsened. The business climate index hovered around zero for a third consecutive month, signaling that, on balance, firms viewed the business climate as normal. Wages Increase at Fastest Pace in a Decade
The employment index climbed seven points to 14.2, indicating that employment levels increased at a solid clip. The wages index rose ten points to 54.8, reaching its highest level in more than ten years, suggesting that wages increased at relatively steep pace. The prices paid index edged down two points to 56.8, indicating that input prices increased at a slightly slower pace than last month. The prices received index advanced three points to 27.5, a sign that selling prices increased at a somewhat faster pace. The capital spending index was little changed at 15.0, suggesting that capital spending increased at a respectable clip. Firms Remain Fairly Optimistic
Indexes assessing the six-month outlook indicated that firms remained fairly optimistic about future conditions. The index for future business activity edged down two points to 29.2, and the index for future business climate was little changed at 7.6. The indexes for future employment and wages were both positive, but lower than last month, and the index for planned capital spending held steady at 27.3. Contacts Tech help: nyrsf.webteam@ny.frb.org Questions about survey/data: richard.deitz@ny.frb.org or (716) 849-5025; jason.bram@ny.frb.org or (212) 720-5651 |
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The Business Leaders Survey is a monthly survey conducted by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York that asks companies across its District - which includes New York State, Northern New Jersey, and Fairfield County, Connecticut - about recent and expected trends in key business indicators. This survey is designed to parallel the Empire State Manufacturing Survey, though it covers a wider geography and the questions are slightly different. Participants from the service sector respond to a questionnaire and report on a variety of indicators, both in terms of recent and expected changes. While January 2014 is the first published report, survey responses date back to September of 2004 and all historical data are available on our website. Contacts |
