Staff Reports
Firm Wage Setting, On-the-Job Search, and the Inflationary Effects of Supply Shocks
Previous titles: “Do Cost-of-Living Shocks Pass Through to Wages?" and "Firm Wage Setting and On-the-Job Search Limit Wage-Price Spirals”
Number 1126
October 2024 Revised September 2026

JEL classification: E31, E52

Authors: Justin Bloesch, Seung Joo Lee, and Jacob P. Weber

We argue that if firms set wages and workers search on-the-job, then pass-through from prices to wages is weak, limiting the cumulative inflationary effects of supply shocks. We derive a tractable general equilibrium model with firm wage setting and on-the-job search, yielding an empirically-realistic wage Phillips curve tying worker quits to wage growth. In our model, price level increases reduce real wages at both workers’ current job and their outside options, muting firms’ incentive to raise wages. Quantitative exercises reveal that counterfactually assuming union wage-setting can overstate wage and price inflation following oil shocks.

Full Article
Author Disclosure Statement(s)
Justin Bloesch
This author declares that he has no relevant or material financial interests that relate to the research described in this paper. Prior to circulation, this paper was reviewed in accordance with the Federal Reserve Bank of New York review policy, available at https://www.newyorkfed.org/research/staff_reports/index.html.

Seung Joo Lee
This author declares that he has no relevant or material financial interests that relate to the research described in this paper. Prior to circulation, this paper was reviewed in accordance with the Federal Reserve Bank of New York review policy, available at https://www.newyorkfed.org/research/staff_reports/index.html.

Jacob Weber
This author declares that he has no relevant or material financial interests that relate to the research described in this paper. Prior to circulation, this paper was reviewed in accordance with the Federal Reserve Bank of New York review policy, available at https://www.newyorkfed.org/research/staff_reports/index.html.

Suggested Citation:
Bloesch, Justin, Seung Joo Lee, and Jacob P. Weber 2024. “Firm Wage Setting, On-the-Job Search, and the Inflationary Effects of Supply Shocks.” Federal Reserve Bank of New York Staff Reports, no. 1126, revised September 2026. https://doi.org/10.59576/sr.1126

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