Staff Reports
Technical working papers intended for publication in leading finance and economics journals. The Research Papers series predated Staff Reports and was discontinued in 1998. Both series are available only online.
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2009 Staff Reports
Real Time Underlying Inflation Gauges for Monetary Policymakers
Marlene Amstad and Simon Potter
December  Number 420
The Cross-Sectional Distribution of Price Stickiness Implied by Aggregate Data
Previous title: “Estimating the Cross-Sectional Distribution of Price Stickiness from Aggregate Data”
Carlos Carvalho and Niels Arne Dam
December  Number 419
Revised August 2010
The Homeownership Gap
Andrew Haughwout, Richard Peach, and Joseph Tracy
December  Number 418
Second Chances: Subprime Mortgage Modification and Re-Default
Andrew Haughwout, Ebiere Okah, and Joseph Tracy
December  Number 417
Revised August 2010
The Mechanics of a Graceful Exit: Interest on Reserves and Segmentation in the Federal Funds Market
Morten L. Bech and Elizabeth Klee
December  Number 416
Measuring Consumer Uncertainty about Future Inflation
Wandi Bruine de Bruin, Charles F. Manski, Giorgio Topa, and Wilbert van der Klaauw
December  Number 415
The Microstructure of the TIPS Market
Michael J. Fleming and Neel Krishnan
December  Number 414
Valuing the Treasury’s Capital Assistance Program
Paul Glasserman and Zhenyu Wang
December  Number 413
Revised May 2011
Dynamic Hierarchical Factor Models
Emanuel Moench, Serena Ng, and Simon Potter
December  Number 412
Revised July 2011
Investment Shocks and the Relative Price of Investment
Alejandro Justiniano, Giorgio E. Primiceri, and Andrea Tambalotti
December  Number 411
Real-Time Search in the Laboratory and the Market
Meta Brown, Christopher J. Flinn, and Andrew Schotter
December  Number 410
Macroprudential Supervision of Financial Institutions: Lessons from the SCAP
Beverly Hirtle, Til Schuermann, and Kevin Stiroh
November  Number 409
Implications of the Financial Crisis for Potential Growth: Past, Present, and Future
Charles Steindel
November  Number 408
How Rigid Are Producer Prices?
Pinelopi Koujianou Goldberg and Rebecca Hellerstein
November  Number 407
Revised October 2011
Broker-Dealer Risk Appetite and Commodity Returns
Erkko Etula
November  Number 406
Revised September 2010
Micro, Macro, and Strategic Forces in International Trade Invoicing
Linda S. Goldberg and Cédric Tille
November  Number 405
Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy
Vasco Cúrdia and Michael Woodford
November  Number 404
A Bayesian Approach to Estimating Tax and Spending Multipliers
Matthew Denes and Gauti B. Eggertsson
November  Number 403
What Fiscal Policy Is Effective at Zero Interest Rates?
Gauti B. Eggertsson
November  Number 402
Do Colleges and Universities Increase Their Region’s Human Capital?
Jaison R. Abel and Richard Deitz
October  Number 401
Revised March 2011

Cash Dollars Abroad
Previous Title: “The Determinants of the International Use of U.S. Cash Dollars”
Rebecca Hellerstein and William Ryan
October  Number 400
Revised February 2011

Consumption Heterogeneity, Employment Dynamics, and Macroeconomic Co-movement
Previous title: “Labor Supply Heterogeneity and Macroeconomic Comovement ”
Stefano Eusepi and Bruce Preston
October  Number 399
Revised September 2013
Financial Intermediaries and Monetary Economics
Tobias Adrian and Hyun Song Shin
October  Number 398
Revised May 2010
Monetary Tightening Cycles and the Predictability of Economic Activity
Tobias Adrian and Arturo Estrella
October  Number 397
Prices and Quantities in the Monetary Policy Transmission Mechanism
Tobias Adrian and Hyun Song Shin
October  Number 396
Revised December 2010
Are Market Makers Uninformed and Passive? Signing Trades in the Absence of Quotes
Michel van der Wel, Albert J. Menkveld, and Asani Sarkar
September  Number 395
The Dynamics of Automobile Expenditures
Adam Copeland
September  Number 394
Capital Constraints, Counterparty Risk, and Deviations from Covered Interest Rate Parity
Niall Coffey, Warren B. Hrung, and Asani Sarkar
September  Number 393
Revised October 2009
Labor Market Pooling and Occupational Agglomeration
Todd M. Gabe and Jaison R. Abel
September  Number 392
Revised January 2010
Competition and Adverse Selection in the Small-Dollar Loan Market: Overdraft versus Payday Credit
Previous title: “Price-Increasing Competition: The Curious Case of Overdraft versus Deferred Deposit Credit”
Brian T. Melzer and Donald P. Morgan
September  Number 391
Revised December 2009
Bank Capital and Value in the Cross Section
Hamid Mehran and Anjan Thakor
September  Number 390
Liquidity Risk, Credit Risk, and the Federal Reserve’s Responses to the Crisis
Asani Sarkar
September  Number 389
Real-Time Inflation Forecasting in a Changing World
Jan J. J. Groen, Richard Paap, and Francesco Ravazzolo
August  Number 388
Revised May 2012
Commodity Prices, Commodity Currencies, and Global Economic Developments
Jan J. J. Groen and Paolo A. Pesenti
August  Number 387
Parsimonious Estimation with Many Instruments
Jan J. J. Groen and George Kapetanios
August  Number 386
Credit Spreads and Monetary Policy
Vasco Cúrdia and Michael Woodford
August  Number 385
Prestigious Stock Exchanges: A Network Analysis of International Financial Centers
Nicola Cetorelli and Stavros Peristiani
August  Number 384
Gender and the Availability of Credit to Privately Held Firms: Evidence from the Surveys of Small Business Finances
Rebel A. Cole and Hamid Mehran
August  Number 383
The Shadow Banking System: Implications for Financial Regulation
Tobias Adrian and Hyun Song Shin
July  Number 382
The Microstructure of a U.S. Treasury ECN: The BrokerTec Platform
Michael J. Fleming and Bruce Mizrach
July  Number 381
Revised March 2017
Why Are Banks Holding So Many Excess Reserves?
Todd Keister and James McAndrews
July  Number 380
Do Vouchers Lead to Sorting under Random Private-School Selection? Evidence from the Milwaukee Voucher Program
Rajashri Chakrabarti
July  Number 379
Revised February 2011
How Do College Students Form Expectations?
Basit Zafar
July  Number 378
Revised October 2010
Globalized Banks: Lending to Emerging Markets in the Crisis
Nicola Cetorelli and Linda S. Goldberg
June  Number 377
Financial Visibility and the Decision to Go Private
Hamid Mehran and Stavros Peristiani
June  Number 376
Credit Quantity and Credit Quality: Bank Competition and Capital Accumulation
Nicola Cetorelli and Pietro F. Peretto
June  Number 375
The Persistent Effects of a False News Shock
Carlos Carvalho, Nicholas Klagge, and Emanuel Moench
May  Number 374
Revised June 2011
Barriers to Household Risk Management: Evidence from India
Shawn Cole, Xavier Giné, Jeremy Tobacman, Petia Topalova, Robert Townsend, and James Vickery
May  Number 373
Credit Default Swap Auctions
Jean Helwege, Samuel Maurer, Asani Sarkar, and Yuan Wang
May  Number 372
Bank Liquidity, Interbank Markets, and Monetary Policy
Xavier Freixas, Antoine Martin, and David Skeie
May  Number 371
Revised September 2009
Precautionary Reserves and the Interbank Market
Adam Ashcraft, James McAndrews, and David Skeie
May  Number 370
The Impact of Tax Law Changes on Bank Dividend Policy, Sell-offs, Organizational Form, and Industry Structure
Hamid Mehran and Michael Suher
April  Number 369
Subprime Mortgage Pricing: The Impact of Race, Ethnicity, and Gender on the Cost of Borrowing
Andrew Haughwout, Christopher Mayer, and Joseph Tracy
April  Number 368
CONDI: A Cost-of-Nominal-Distortions Index
Stefano Eusepi, Bart Hobijn, and Andrea Tambalotti
March  Number 367
Credit Market Competition and the Nature of Firms
Nicola Cetorelli
March  Number 366
Revised July 2009
An Experimental Investigation of Why Individuals Conform
Basit Zafar
February  Number 365
College Major Choice and the Gender Gap
Basit Zafar
February  Number 364
Model Selection Criteria for Factor-Augmented Regressions
Jan J. J. Groen and George Kapetanios
February  Number 363
Revised May 2012
The Term Structure of Inflation Expectations
Tobias Adrian and Hao Wu
February  Number 362
Revised August 2010
Risk Appetite and Exchange Rates
Previous title: “Global Liquidity and Exchange Rates”
Tobias Adrian, Erkko Etula, and Hyun Song Shin
January  Number 361
Revised December 2015
Money, Liquidity, and Monetary Policy
Tobias Adrian and Hyun Song Shin
January  Number 360
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