Center for Microeconomic Data

 
INFLATION EXPECTATIONS 
Reports and Data
Survey of Consumer Expectations
Focus: Consumer expectations regarding inflation, the labor market, and household finance. Fielded monthly since 2013.

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Analysis
Liberty Street Economics
New SCE Charts Include a Measure of Longer-Term Inflation Expectations
October 2022
What Are Consumers’ Inflation Expectations Telling Us Today?
February 2022
Have Consumers’ Long-Run Inflation Expectations Become Un-Anchored?
September 2021
Inflation Expectations in Times of COVID-19
May 2020
Archive
More
Did Changes in Economic Expectations Foreshadow Swings in the 2018 Elections?
May 2019
Just Released: Press Briefing on the Survey of Consumer Expectations
November 2016
Economic Press Briefing: The Survey of Consumer Expectations
Wilbert van der Klaauw, Giorgio Topa, Olivier Armantier, and Basit Zafar
NEW YORK CITY, November 2016
Opening Remarks at the Economic Press Briefing on the Survey of Consumer Expectations
William C. Dudley, President and Chief Executive Officer
New York Fed, New York City, November 2016
How Do People Revise Their Inflation Expectations?
August 2016
The Advantages of Probabilistic Survey Questions
Simon Potter, Executive Vice President
New York Fed, New York City, May 2016
Workshop on Subjective Expectations
NEW YORK FED
NEW YORK CITY, May 2016
Just Released: Five New Data Series on Consumer Expectations
February 2016
Who is Driving the Recent Decline in Consumer Inflation Expectations?
January 2016
The Survey of Consumer Expectations Turns Two!
July 2015
Just Released: SCE Credit Access Survey Shows Higher Likelihood of Consumers Applying for Credit
March 2015
Introducing the SCE Credit Access Survey
November 2014
Remarks at the Fifth Data Management Strategies and Technologies Workshop
James McAndrews, Executive Vice President and Director of Research
New York Fed, New York City, February 2014
Introducing the FRBNY Survey of Consumer Expectations: Household Finance Expectations
December 2013
Introducing the FRBNY Survey of Consumer Expectations: Labor Market Expectations
December 2013
Introducing the FRBNY Survey of Consumer Expectations: Measuring Price Inflation Expectations
December 2013
Introducing the FRBNY Survey of Consumer Expectations: Survey Goals, Design, and Content
December 2013
Nudging Inflation Expectations: An Experiment
November 2012
Improving the Measurement of Inflation Expectations
Simon Potter, Executive Vice President
New York Fed, New York City, June 2012
Inflation Expectations and Behavior: Do Survey Respondents Act on Their Beliefs?
July 2011
What Is Driving the Recent Rise in Consumer Inflation Expectations?
April 2011
Publications
BY CMD RESEARCHERS
A New Approach to Assess Inflation Expectations Anchoring Using Strategic Surveys
Olivier Armantier, Argia M. Sbordone, Giorgio Topa, Wilbert van der Klaauw, and John C. Williams
Federal Reserve Bank of New York Staff Reports, February 2022
How Economic Crises Affect Inflation Beliefs: Evidence from the COVID-19 Pandemic
Olivier Armantier, Gizem Kosar, Rachel Pomerantz, Daphné Skandalis, Kyle Smith, Giorgio Topa, and Wilbert van der Klaauw
Federal Reserve Bank of New York Staff Reports, November 2020
Economic Expectations Grow Less Polarized since the 2016 Election
May 2019
An Overview of the Survey of Consumer Expectations
Olivier Armantier, Giorgio Topa, Wilbert van der Klaauw, and Basit Zafar
Federal Reserve Bank of New York Economic Policy Review, December 2017
Archive
More
An Overview of the Survey of Consumer Expectations
OLIVIER ARMANTIER, GIORGIO TOPA, WILBERT VAN DER KLAAUW, AND BASIT ZAFAR
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF NEW YORK STAFF REPORTS, November 2016
The Price is Right: Updating of Inflation Expectations in a Randomized Price Information Experiment
OLIVIER ARMANTIER, GIORGIO TOPA, WILBERT VAN DER KLAAUW, AND BASIT ZAFAR
REVIEW OF ECONOMICS AND STATISTICS, July 2016
Measuring the Expectations of Inflation: Effects of Survey Mode, Wording, and Opportunities to Revise
WÄNDI BRUINE DE BRUIN, WILBERT VAN DER KLAAUW, MAARTEN VAN ROOIJ, FEDERICA TEPPA, AND KLAAS DE VOS
DE NEDERLANSCHE BANK WORKING PAPER, March 2016
Heterogeneous Inflation Expectations and Learning
CARLOS MADEIRA AND BASIT ZAFAR
JOURNAL OF MONEY, CREDIT, AND BANKING, August 2015
Subjective Intertemporal Substitution
Richard K. Crump, Stefano Eusepi, Andrea Tambalotti, and Giorgio Topa
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF NEW YORK STAFF REPORTS, July 2015
Inflation Expectations and Behavior: Do Survey Respondents Act on their Beliefs?
OLIVIER ARMANTIER, GIORGIO TOPA, WILBERT VAN DER KLAAUW, AND BASIT ZAFAR
INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC REVIEW, May 2015
Expectations of Inflation: The Biasing Effect of Thoughts about Specific Prices
WÄNDI BRUINE DE BRUIN, WILBERT VAN DER KLAAUW, AND GIORGIO TOPA
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF NEW YORK STAFF REPORTS, April 2014
Measuring Inflation Expectations
GIORGIO TOPA, OLIVIER ARMANTIER, WÄNDI BRUINE DE BRUIN, BASIT ZAFAR, AND SIMON POTTER
ANNUAL REVIEW OF ECONOMICS, August 2013
The Price Is Right: Updating of Inflation Expectations in a Randomized Price Information Experiment
Olivier Armantier, Scott Nelson, Giorgio Topa, Wilbert van der Klaauw, and Basit Zafar
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF NEW YORK STAFF REPORTS, January 2012
Inflation Expectations and Behavior: Do Survey Respondents Act on Their Beliefs?
Olivier Armantier, Giorgio Topa, Wilbert van der Klaauw, and Basit Zafar, WÄNDI BRUINE DE BRUIN
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF NEW YORK STAFF REPORTS, August 2011
Measuring Consumer Uncertainty about Future Inflation
WÄNDI BRUINE DE BRUIN, CHARLES F. MANSKI AND GIORGIO TOPA
JOURNAL OF APPLIED ECONOMETRICS, May 2011
Improving Survey Measurement of Household Inflation Expectations
WÄNDI BRUINE DE BRUIN, SIMON POTTER, ROBERT RICH, GIORGIO TOPA, AND WILBERT VAN DER KLAAUW
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF NEW YORK CURRENT ISSUES IN ECONOMICS AND FINANCE, August/September 2010
Expectations of Inflation: The Role of Financial Literacy and Demographic Variables
WÄNDI BRUINE DE BRUIN, JULIE DOWNS, BARUCH FISCHHOFF, AND OLIVIER ARMANTIER
JOURNAL OF CONSUMER AFFAIRS, July 2010
The Effect of Question Wording on Reported Expectations and Perceptions of Inflation
WÄNDI BRUINE DE BRUIN, WILBERT VAN DER KLAAUW, JULIE S. DOWNS, BARUCH FISCHHOFF, GIORGIO TOPA, AND OLIVIER ARMANTIER
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF NEW YORK STAFF REPORTS, April 2010
CONTACT CMD
cmd@ny.frb.org
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